{"id":17452,"date":"2026-10-02T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gsdunn.com\/in-the-news-es\/2-de-octubre-de-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-10-09T11:37:51","modified_gmt":"2026-10-09T15:37:51","slug":"october-2-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gsdunn.com\/es\/market-outlook-es\/october-2-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"2 de octubre de 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"[vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bb20px\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb column_padding_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb][vc_column_text css=\u00bb\u00bb text_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb]\n<h2>Evoluci\u00f3n del mercado<\/h2>\n[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text css=\u00bb\u00bb text_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb]\n<ul>\n<li>En sus estimaciones de cultivos de septiembre, basadas en modelos estad\u00edsticos, Statistics Canada (StatsCan) situ\u00f3 la producci\u00f3n de mostaza de 2026 en 158.000 toneladas, un aumento de 18.000 toneladas (13 %) respecto al a\u00f1o pasado. El rendimiento promedio de las provincias de las Praderas se estim\u00f3 en 946 libras por acre, el nivel m\u00e1s alto desde la campa\u00f1a 2016\/17.<\/li>\n<li>Si aplicamos el incremento porcentual del rendimiento de 2026 a las superficies sembradas estimadas por StatsCan en junio para cada variedad, la producci\u00f3n de mostaza amarilla alcanzar\u00eda las 80.000 toneladas, un 5 % menos que el a\u00f1o pasado. Por su parte, la producci\u00f3n de mostaza oriental se situar\u00eda entre 35.000 y 40.000 toneladas, un 42 % m\u00e1s que el a\u00f1o anterior, mientras que la producci\u00f3n de mostaza marr\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n alcanzar\u00eda entre 35.000 y 40.000 toneladas, un aumento del 26 % interanual.<\/li>\n<li>La semana pasada, el Ministerio de Agricultura de Saskatchewan (Sask Ag) redujo en aproximadamente 100 libras por acre su estimaci\u00f3n anterior del rendimiento de mostaza para 2026. La nueva estimaci\u00f3n, de 1.024 libras por acre, se aproxima mucho al rendimiento provincial de 1.001 libras por acre calculado por StatsCan. Por ello, nos inclinamos por adoptar la estimaci\u00f3n de StatsCan, que representar\u00eda el rendimiento m\u00e1s alto desde la campa\u00f1a 2016\/17. Cabe recordar que las principales zonas productoras de mostaza de Saskatchewan han experimentado varios a\u00f1os consecutivos de condiciones secas y sequ\u00edas, lo que ha reducido el rendimiento promedio.<\/li>\n<li>La cosecha de mostaza en Saskatchewan avanz\u00f3 esta semana. Seg\u00fan Sask Ag, al 28 de septiembre se hab\u00eda completado el 84 % de la cosecha. Esta cifra se sit\u00faa ligeramente por debajo del promedio de los \u00faltimos diez a\u00f1os, del 89 %, y est\u00e1 en l\u00ednea con el ritmo lento observado el a\u00f1o pasado. Hasta el momento, no hemos visto estimaciones sobre la clasificaci\u00f3n de calidad de la cosecha de 2026. Sin embargo, si tomamos como referencia el promedio de las clasificaciones de 2019 y 2025, el 65 % de la cosecha corresponder\u00eda a la categor\u00eda 1Can (frente a un promedio del 72 % en los \u00faltimos diez a\u00f1os), mientras que el 15 % se clasificar\u00eda como 3Can o inferior (frente a un promedio del 8 %). Esto agravar\u00eda el problema de las existencias de mostaza de baja calidad acumuladas durante los dos \u00faltimos a\u00f1os.<\/li>\n<li>Las importaciones de mostaza de la Uni\u00f3n Europea alcanzaron las 5.900 toneladas en julio, el volumen m\u00e1s alto desde marzo, aunque todav\u00eda relativamente bajo en t\u00e9rminos hist\u00f3ricos. Canad\u00e1 aport\u00f3 2.500 toneladas de ese total, la mayor cantidad desde septiembre de 2025, y su cuota de mercado alcanz\u00f3 el 42 %, el nivel m\u00e1s alto desde agosto de 2024. Las importaciones acumuladas en lo que va de 2026 ascienden a 36.800 toneladas, muy por debajo de las 54.000 toneladas registradas durante el mismo per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o pasado y el nivel m\u00e1s bajo desde 2018. No disponemos de datos recientes sobre la producci\u00f3n de mostaza en la Uni\u00f3n Europea, pero sospechamos que una mayor proporci\u00f3n de la demanda est\u00e1 siendo cubierta por la producci\u00f3n interna.<\/li>\n<li>Los precios ofertados por los compradores para todas las variedades de mostaza han ido recuper\u00e1ndose desde los m\u00ednimos registrados a finales de agosto. La mostaza marr\u00f3n ha experimentado los mayores incrementos, mientras que la mostaza amarilla tambi\u00e9n ha registrado subidas. La recuperaci\u00f3n estacional comenz\u00f3 a manifestarse un poco antes de lo habitual, posiblemente porque los retrasos y las dificultades durante la cosecha llevaron a los agricultores a posponer sus ventas de mostaza. El \u00edndice estacional muestra que los precios ofertados por la mostaza tienden a seguir aumentando hasta finales de noviembre o principios de diciembre, antes de entrar en una fase de estabilidad.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbfull_width_background\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb shape_type=\u00bb\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bb20px\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb column_padding_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb][vc_column_text css=\u00bb\u00bb text_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb]\n<h2>Perspectiva:<\/h2>\n[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text css=\u00bb\u00bb text_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb]Los precios ofertados por la mostaza est\u00e1n fortaleci\u00e9ndose, en consonancia con la tendencia estacional habitual para esta \u00e9poca del a\u00f1o. Un segundo a\u00f1o consecutivo de producci\u00f3n moderada en Canad\u00e1 deber\u00eda contribuir a sostener los precios de la mostaza, con un mayor potencial alcista para la variedad amarilla que para la oriental o la marr\u00f3n. La principal inc\u00f3gnita en las perspectivas para la campa\u00f1a 2026\/27 es el volumen de la demanda, especialmente debido a la incertidumbre sobre las cantidades que necesitar\u00e1n Europa y Estados Unidos. Aunque es probable que los precios ofertados sigan mostrando cierta fortaleza estacional, las subidas podr\u00edan comenzar a moderarse pronto si los importadores no incrementan sus compras.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb top_padding=\u00bb60&#8243; text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb gradient_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb shape_type=\u00bb\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bbdefault\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_link_target=\u00bb_self\u00bb column_position=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; width=\u00bb1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=\u00bbdefault\u00bb animation_type=\u00bbdefault\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb border_type=\u00bbsimple\u00bb column_border_width=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_border_style=\u00bbsolid\u00bb][vc_gallery css=\u00bb\u00bb type=\u00bbimage_grid\u00bb images=\u00bb17439,17442,17445,17448&#8243; image_grid_loading=\u00bbdefault\u00bb layout=\u00bb2&#8243; masonry_style=\u00bbtrue\u00bb bypass_image_cropping=\u00bbtrue\u00bb item_spacing=\u00bbdefault\u00bb gallery_style=\u00bb5&#8243; load_in_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row type=\u00bbin_container\u00bb full_screen_row_position=\u00bbmiddle\u00bb column_margin=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_tablet=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_direction_phone=\u00bbdefault\u00bb scene_position=\u00bbcenter\u00bb text_color=\u00bbdark\u00bb text_align=\u00bbleft\u00bb row_border_radius=\u00bbnone\u00bb row_border_radius_applies=\u00bbbg\u00bb overflow=\u00bbvisible\u00bb overlay_strength=\u00bb0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=\u00bbleft_to_right\u00bb shape_divider_position=\u00bbbottom\u00bb bg_image_animation=\u00bbnone\u00bb][vc_column column_padding=\u00bbno-extra-padding\u00bb column_padding_tablet=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_phone=\u00bbinherit\u00bb column_padding_position=\u00bball\u00bb column_element_direction_desktop=\u00bbdefault\u00bb column_element_spacing=\u00bb20px\u00bb desktop_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb tablet_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb phone_text_alignment=\u00bbdefault\u00bb background_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=\u00bb1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=\u00bbnone\u00bb column_shadow=\u00bbnone\u00bb&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[169],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","category-market-outlook-es"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>2 de octubre de 2026 - G.S. 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